We’ve been monitoring the chances for all prospective candidates (such as a few names which could surprise you), and have included a visual depiction of their chances in the graphs and tables below. We are going to continue to update their information throughout the numerous midterms, scandals, and surprise statements that are sure to come between now and election night. Buckle up! It’s guaranteed to get a little bumpy.
2020 US Presidential Odds
Donald Trump’s first year and a half in office has been, by virtually any metric, a complete and absolute disaster. The POTUS has assaulted the intelligence community, undermined relationships with America’s longest-standing allies, supported alleged sexual predators, and controlled the forcible separation of children in their families.
Despite his many scathing scandals and controversies, Trump somehow remains the overwhelming favorite to win the next US Presidential election in 2020. The Donald’s current average likelihood of +110 are 990 points better than his next closest competition. That isn’t only a gap — it’s yawning chasm — and it might get much broader unless something changes soon.
June 28, 2019: Donald Trump is still favored to win against the 2020 Election with -120 average odds, however Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are gaining ground. Harris’ typical US Presidential chances went from +1300 on June 10th to +820 on June 28th and Warren’s went from +1700 to +1100 over precisely the exact same period of time.
June 10, 2019: Andrew Yang is emerging as a genuine contender with +2100 chances.
May 27, 2019: Oddsmakers appear to be losing faith in Pete Buttigieg, whose typical US Presidential odds lengthened from +1200 on May 16th to +1500 on May 27th.
May 16, 2019: Trump’s 2020 Presidential odds remain unchanged despite damning new tax records that reveal he dropped $1 billion in 1985 to 1994.
April 25, 2019: Joe Biden is formally making his move. The former VP has declared his intentions to run for President in 2020.
March 25, 2019: The Mueller Report is outside and Donald Trump appears to have emerged unscathed… so far. The POTUS saw his chances improve from +110 to +100.
January 22, 2019: Is Donald Trump’s government shutdown shutting down him from re-election as President of the United States in 2020? It definitely seems that way as his chances have shrunk from +120 to +180.
January 10, 2019: Don’t look now, but Elizabeth Warren has emerged as a bona fide presidential candidate. Her odds improved considerably from +2300 on December 14th to +1700 on January 10th.
November 7, 2018: Trump’s chances to win the 2020 Presidential Election jumped from +100 to +110 hours after the Republicans lost the House of Representatives in the US Midterm Elections.
October 31, 2018: Halloween might be a frightening time for a few, but not for Trump, whose odds of serving another term have shortened from +110 to +100 despite rampant speculation that the Republicans will lose the House of Representatives from the coming Midterms.
October 15, 2018: Donald Trump remains the heavy favorite to win the 2020 Presidential Election with odds of +110. His next nearest competition, Kamala Harris, remains far back at +1000.
Read more here: http://softballedge.com/?p=32993
